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Guadalupe basin · South Central Texas · South Central
TWDB reading Jul 23, 2026
USGS 08177400 — Coleto Ck Res nr Victoria, TX
Extrapolated from the past 60 days
Storage rose over the past 60 days, gaining about 34 acre-feet per day.
A straight-line extrapolation, not a forecast. It assumes the recent rate continues unchanged, ignoring seasonality, rainfall and managed releases — and drawdown normally slows as a reservoir falls. Treat it as a severity signal, not a date.
US Drought Monitor for Victoria County, Jul 21, 2026
Conditions in the county containing the dam. A reservoir is filled by a watershed that often reaches well beyond one county, and releases are managed, so local drought is context rather than an explanation of the level.
Nearest gaged reaches above and below the dam
How today compares with 40 years of record for this date
At 83%, Coleto Creek Reservoir is below normal for this date, lower than 83% of years on record. It was last this low in 2022.
Percentiles pool the ±3 days around today across every year on record, so “normal” means normal for this time of year. Conservation capacity is re-surveyed over time, so percent-full comparisons across decades are close but not exact.
Daily TWDB observations, with the normal range for each date
Normal range for the date (25th–75th percentile)Median year
Past 7 days, typically 15-minute readings. USGS elevations use a published datum that may differ slightly from the TWDB daily value above.
CoCoRaHS observers within 60 km of the dam
Rain measured near the dam, not across the watershed. A reservoir is fed by a catchment that can reach hundreds of kilometres upstream, so heavy local rain does not necessarily mean inflow — and a rising lake often reflects rain far from here. Readings are volunteer observations taken once each morning.